부산의 당선자 전재수가 만표 이상으로 이겼는데, 그것은 젊은층의 몰표없이는 불가능하다고 합니다. <div><br></div> <div>즉, 이번 부산의 선거결과를 보면,(<a target="_blank" href="http://info.nec.go.kr/">http://info.nec.go.kr/</a>)</div> <div><br></div> <div>전체적으로 합은 비슷합니다. 즉 부산은 투표율은 늘지 안았습니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>그러나, 새누리표가 줄거나 비슷한데, 더민주표는 확실히 늘었습니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>많게는 2천표-8천표까지 늘었습니다. 이것은 기존 무소속으로 갔던 표(5천-7천)가 전부 더민주로 왔다고봐야 가능합니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>또한, 이번에 국민의당이 표를 부산에서 많이 갈아먹었는데, 그것이 아니였다면 부산에서 3군데는 더 당선되었습니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>한예로, 사하갑을 보면,</div> <div><br></div> <div>19대 총선</div> <div><br></div> <div><table class="table01" summary="개표결과" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border-width:2px 0px 0px;border-top-style:solid;border-top-color:#a47d48;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0px;table-layout:fixed;font-size:12px;line-height:14px;font-family:dotum;width:1049px;color:#404040;"><tbody style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><tr style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><td class="alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;">사하구갑</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">새누리당<br>문대성</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">민주통합당<br>최인호</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">청년당<br>박주찬</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">무소속<br>엄호성</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;">계</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td></tr><tr style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">사하구</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">125,927<br>(2,595)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">67,959<br>(2,341)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">30,455<br>(45.14)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">28,075<br>(41.61)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">1,500<br>(2.22)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">7,434<br>(11.01)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">67,464<br><br></td></tr></tbody></table></div> <div><br></div> <div>합: 67464</div> <div><br></div> <div>20대 총선</div> <div><br></div> <div><table class="table01" summary="개표진행상황" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" style="font-size:12px;line-height:14px;margin:0px;padding:0px;border-width:2px 0px 0px;border-top-style:solid;border-top-color:#62888d;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0px;table-layout:fixed;font-family:dotum;width:1049px;color:#404040;"><tbody style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><tr style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;">사하구갑</td> <td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">새누리당<br>김척수<br></strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">더불어민주당<br>최인호</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">무소속<br>전창섭</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">무소속<br>박경민</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;">무소속<br>박태원</strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><strong style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><br></strong></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;">계</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td></tr><tr style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;">사하구</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">123,247<br></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">70,031</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">31,350<br>(45.41)<br></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">34,080<br>(49.36)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">1,085<br>(1.57)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">520<br>(0.75)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">1,997<br>(2.89)</td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;">69,032</td></tr></tbody></table></div> <div>합: 69032</div> <div><br></div> <div>19대 대비 </div> <div><br></div> <div>합은 1560표가 늘었는데,</div> <div><br></div> <div>새누리는 890표를 더 받았고, 더민주는 6000표를 더 받았습니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>단순 계산으로, 19대때 무소속+청년당으로 갔던 9000표중 더민주가 6000표, 새누리가 1560표를 가져왔다는 계산이됩니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>즉, 새누리당은 자체 조사를 통해, 젊은층이 더민주로 쏠렸다는 판단을 했을것이고, 이것을 막지못하면</div> <div><br></div> <div>대선에서 부산경남지역에서 젊은층의 몰표가 더민주로 간다는 판단했겠죠....</div> <div><br></div> <div>전재수의 경우는 더 심합니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>19대 대비 20대에서 전재수는 1만3천표를 더 받았습니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>즉, 만약 젊은층이 더민주로 완전히 넘어가면, 대선뿐 아니라, 다음총선에서 진짜 더민주가 과반을 차지할수도 있다고 보는것, 그리고 현실이 그렇습니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>그래서 지금 새누리당이 비로소 젊은층에 눈을 돌리기 시작한것입니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>또한 서울도 통계를 보면, 국민의당은 그냥 3/3 찍은거 같습니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>그러나, 이번 총선에서의 대승은 투표율이 올라간것이 가장 크다고 보여집니다.</div> <div><br></div> <div>서울같은경우, 기본적으로 4-5천표씩 늘었습니다. 이것이 국당이 가져간표를 매꾼것입니다. 또한 새누리표도 상당부분 잠식했고.</div> <div><br></div> <div>통계를 보면 알수있음. </div> <table class="table01" summary="개표진행상황" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" style="font-size:12px;line-height:14px;margin:0px;padding:0px;border-width:2px 0px 0px;border-top-style:solid;border-top-color:#62888d;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0px;table-layout:fixed;font-family:dotum;width:1049px;color:#404040;"><tbody style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><tr style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><br></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"><br></td></tr><tr style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;"><br></td></tr></tbody></table><div><table class="table01" summary="개표진행상황" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border-width:2px 0px 0px;border-top-style:solid;border-top-color:#62888d;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0px;table-layout:fixed;font-size:12px;line-height:14px;font-family:dotum;width:1049px;color:#404040;"><tbody style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><tr style="margin:0px;padding:0px;border:0px;"><td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="firstTd alignL" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="alignR" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:right;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 1px;border-right-style:solid;border-bottom-style:solid;border-left-style:solid;border-right-color:#dadada;border-bottom-color:#dadada;border-left-color:#dadada;text-align:center;color:#666666;"><br></td> <td class="alignC" style="margin:0px;padding:6px 7px 4px;border-width:0px 1px 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