<p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">보다 많은 분들이 보셨으면 하는 마음에 다시 한번 올립니다.</span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"><br></span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">출처 : 뉴스타파(</span><font color="#0900ff" size="3">http://www.newstapa.com/)</font></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_31445_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/9c685549b270eed2680163d38af8cabc.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;"></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">각종 여론조사들이 민심을 제대로 반영하는지 알아보기 위해</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">뉴스타파에서 같은 시기에 두 가지 방법으로 여론조사 실시</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">1. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">휴대전화 100%</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">2. 휴대전화 </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">50%, </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">유선전화 </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">50%</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 14pt;"></span><br></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_82654_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/29e038af77f737399ffc4f807be9a33c.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 14pt;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">휴대전화 100%의 경우 문재인이 </span><span lang="EN-US" style="letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">5% </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">앞섬</span></span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">50</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">대</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">50의 </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"> 경우 문재인이 </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">2.8% </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">앞섬</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 14pt;"></span><br></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_94794_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/079b71e2c4fdb2c2fc078260e91963fe.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 14pt;"></span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="color: rgb(9, 0, 255); font-size: 12pt;">유선전화 100%의 경우는 오히려 박근혜가 앞섬</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_53156_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/c87c85c6794a6e0c4112010f986a3889.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">이렇든 유선전화 무선전화 비율에 따라 조사 결과는 천차만별</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">아직까지 어느 정도의 비율이 적당한지는 알 수 없다고 함</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"> </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_51130_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/b0970b092f630628087f0047545a45af.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="color: rgb(9, 0, 255); font-size: 12pt;">유선전화의 경우는 주로 주부나 어르신들의 비율이 높아 젊은 계층이 체계적으로 배제될 가능성 농후</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="color: rgb(9, 0, 255); font-size: 12pt;"><br></span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_62954_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/fd7812e10e2f9a15cae978c0c5412e6b.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_81674_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/749d56f199740262e347ea2631a15eb4.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">오세훈 한명숙 서울시장 투표 당시</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">여론조사</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">(<b>mbc, </b></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"><b>유무선 혼합이나 정확한 비율은 밝히지 않음</b></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">)</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">로는 약 </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">18% </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">차이로 오세훈이 앞도적으로 앞섰으나</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">개표 결과는 박빙이었음</span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_11965_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/d5daa9d0f00f02dcbc574bef421bfd9e.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_38153_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/993bbc52df907fe9dbb4ef20f691364f.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">엄기영 최문순 강원도지사 투표 당시에도</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">여론조사 결과</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">(</span><b><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">동아일보</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">, </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">유무선 혼합이나 정확한 비율은 밝히지 않음</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">)</span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">는 엄기영이 압도적으로 앞서고 있는 것으로 조사되었으나</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">개표 결과는 모두들 아시다시피 완전히 뒤집힘</span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_55509_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/f670201a598a4a4b623751b00c321b8f.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_20140_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/51215896c0a9864a1021e25fee20cbd5.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">나경원 박원순 서울시장 투표 때도 마찬가지</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">.(</span><b><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">문화일보</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">, </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">유선전화 </span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"><b>100%</b>)</span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt;"></span><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_16313_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/fd047599d94815ed01cab3b2503ec66d.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">미국의 경우도 <b>유선전화만</b> 조사했을 경우 보수 성향의 공화당의 득표율이 높지만</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"><b>유무선혼합 방식</b>으로 했을 경우에는 진보 성향의 민주당의 득표율이 높음</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"> </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span><o:p></o:p></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">그러면 유선전화으로만 하거나 유선전화의 비율이 높은 여론조사에서 보수적인 계층의 의견이 더 많이 반영될 수 있음에도 기존의 여론조사 방법을 고수하는 이유는</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">?</span></p><p class="0" style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt;"><br></span></p><br style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><br></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><img class="tcx_image" id="tx_entry_61800_" src="http://thimg.todayhumor.co.kr/upfile/201212/e90dfe3b0882ef1a67789e73f03f756f.jpg" style="max-width: 800px; border: 1px dotted orange; cursor: pointer;"></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"></span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">왜건 이펙트 </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: '맑은 고딕'; letter-spacing: 0pt; font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">: </span><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);">다수의 의견을 따라가고자 하는 경향</span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"><br></span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; line-height: 21px;"><font color="#0900ff" size="3">자신들에게 유리한 방향으로 투표 결과를 몰아가고자 하는 게 아닌가 하는 의문 제기...</font></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(9, 0, 255);"><br></span></p><p style="font-family: Gulim; font-size: 12px; line-height: 21px;"><span style="font-size: 12pt; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">일부 언론에서 왜건 이펙트를 노리고 자기 성향에 유리하게 여론조사를 한다는 확실한 증거는 아니라는 것을 알려드립니다.</span></p></p>