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  • 게시물ID : sisa_1228610
    작성자 : 늘파란
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    IP : 112.161.***.108
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    등록시간 : 2023/12/04 14:32:39
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    <p> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">지금 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대한민국은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">향</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">후 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">몇 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">개월</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">내에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">역사적으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">봐도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">의미가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">작지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">사건들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">벌어질 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">예정</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">입니다</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">벌어질</span><span lang="en-us"> 일들</span><span lang="ko">에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">제 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나름의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">예상과 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">근거에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대해서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">한</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">번</span><span lang="en-us"> 정리해 봤습니다</span><span lang="en-us">.</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us" style="font-size:16px;color:#ff0000;">* </span><span style="font-size:16px;color:#ff0000;">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us" style="font-size:16px;color:#ff0000;"> 1</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">23</span><span lang="ko">년</span><span lang="en-us"> 12</span><span lang="ko">월</span><span lang="en-us"></span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">민주당 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">주도로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">김건희</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">특검과</span><span lang="en-us"> 50</span><span lang="ko">억</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">클럽 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">특검법 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">및 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국회 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">통과</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">대통령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">거부권 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">행사</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">24</span><span lang="ko">년</span><span lang="en-us"> 4</span><span lang="ko">월</span><span lang="en-us"></span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: 22</span><span lang="ko">대 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">총선 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">실시</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">민주당 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">압승</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">24</span><span lang="ko">년</span><span lang="en-us"> 6</span><span lang="ko">월</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">대통령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">탄핵안 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국회 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">및 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">통과</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us" style="font-size:16px;color:#ff0000;">* </span><span style="font-size:16px;color:#ff0000;">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us" style="font-size:16px;color:#ff0000;">2</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">23</span><span lang="ko">년</span><span lang="en-us"> : </span><span lang="ko">위와 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">동일</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">24</span><span lang="ko">년</span><span lang="en-us"> 3</span><span lang="ko">월</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">대통령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발동</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us" style="color:#ff0000;">* </span><span style="color:#ff0000;">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us" style="color:#ff0000;">3</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">23</span><span lang="ko">년</span><span lang="en-us"> : </span><span lang="ko">위와 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">동일</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">24</span><span lang="ko">년</span><span lang="en-us"> 3</span><span lang="ko">월</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">남한의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선제타격에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">의한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발발</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko" style="color:#0080ff;font-size:16px;">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us" style="color:#0080ff;font-size:16px;">1</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">가장 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">안정적이고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국민들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">바라마지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us">. 22</span><span lang="ko">대 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">총선 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">결과는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">민주당을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">포함한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">야권이</span><span lang="en-us"> 200</span><span lang="ko">석을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">넘기느냐 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">못 넘기느냐의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">문제이지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이미 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">여당의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">참패가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">예정 되어 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있음</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">의석수에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">따라 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대통령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">탄핵의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국회 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시점이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">달라질 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">야권이</span><span lang="en-us"> 200</span><span lang="ko">석을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">넘기면 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국회 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">열리고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">얼마 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">안</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있어서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">바로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">탄핵안이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">추진</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">될 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것이고</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">만약</span><span lang="en-us"> 200</span><span lang="ko">석을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">못 넘긴다면 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">여당</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">내에서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">등 돌리는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">사람들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">어느 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나올때까지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시간이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">더 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">소요될</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko" style="color:#0080ff;font-size:16px;">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us" style="color:#0080ff;font-size:16px;">2</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">아마 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">많은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">분들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">걱정하고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시나리오 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">수 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있음</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">그러나</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">전 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">개인적으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">윤석열이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시나리오를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">꺼내기를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">바라고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있음</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">이유는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이제 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대한민국은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">더 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이상 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">군의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">힘으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">권력을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">찬탈하거나 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">유지할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">수 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나라도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">아니고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그런 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시대도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">아님</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">게다가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">공교롭게도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">최근</span><span lang="en-us"> '</span><span lang="ko">서울의</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">봄</span><span lang="en-us">'</span><span lang="ko">이라는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">영화로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">인해 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시대를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">겪어보지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">젊은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">세대들도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">및 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">군에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">의한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">권력유지가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">어떤</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">건지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">알게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">되었고</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">군 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">내부에서도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일반 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국민들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄령에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">저항하는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시위를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">경우 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">거기에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">엄정 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대응 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">명령에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">불응할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">가능성이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">매우 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">큼</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">게다가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">가장 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">결정적으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄령을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선포할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">명분이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">없음</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">그렇기 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">때문에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄령을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선포할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">경우 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국민적 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">저항을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">불러와서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정권의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">조기 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">몰락을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">가져올 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">탄핵은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국회</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">통과</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">탄핵</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">심판 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">등 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시간이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">많이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">소요되는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">반면 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">경우 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">더 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">빠른 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시간내에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">권좌에서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">물러 나게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">수 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있음</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko" style="color:#ff007f;font-size:18px;">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us" style="color:#ff007f;font-size:18px;">3</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">: </span><span lang="ko">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us">1</span><span lang="ko">과</span><span lang="en-us"> 2</span><span lang="ko">는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">사실 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">위에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">상기한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이유로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">별로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">걱정 되지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않지만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">제일 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">걱정하는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">바로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이</span><span lang="en-us"> 3</span><span lang="ko">번</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시나리오임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">간혹</span><span lang="en-us"> '</span><span lang="ko">윤석열이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">아무리 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">생각이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">없어도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">설마 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일으키기야 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">하겠어</span><span lang="en-us">?'</span><span lang="ko">라고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">생각 하시는</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">분들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계실지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">모르겠지만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">우리 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일반 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국민은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">단순하게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대통령이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">누구냐</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">정권을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">누가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">잡느냐</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">하는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정도에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">따라 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">달라지는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이해관계의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">문제지만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">윤석열 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">본인은  </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">생사의</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">문제이며</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">자식도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">없는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이놈은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미래에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">고려가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">아니라 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">본인 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">살길을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">위해서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">얼마든지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">넘지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">말아야 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">넘을</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">수 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">인물임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">본인은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">안 그려고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">해도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">김건희가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">옆에서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">부추겨서라도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그럴 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">가능성이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">농후함</span><span lang="en-us">.</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">여기에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">또 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전시작전권이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미국에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있어서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그럴</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">없다는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">분들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계시는데</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">전시작전권은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미국에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있지만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">평시작전권은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">우리가</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">갖고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있음</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">말은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">즉</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">군 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">최고</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">통수권자인 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대통령이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">평시에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">북에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대해 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선제</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">공격을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">명령하면 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">군은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그대로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">실행한다는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">얼마전 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">임명된 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국방장관 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">꼴통이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대통령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">명령에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">불응할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">거라고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">생각하지는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않으시겠죠</span><span lang="en-us">?</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시나리오대로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">남한측의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선제 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">타격으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발발할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">경우의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전개에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대해 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">생각해보면</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">윤석열은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">북한에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">개시와 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">함께 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전국에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">비상계엄을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선포할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">그리고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시기는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국회의원 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선거가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">치뤄진 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이후가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">아니라</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">선거</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">결과를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미리 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">예상하고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선제적으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선거</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이루어질 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">가능성이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">더 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">큼</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">이렇게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전개될 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">경우 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시나리오</span><span lang="en-us">2</span><span lang="ko">처럼 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">평시에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선포한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것과 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">달리 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전시라는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">특수성 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">때문에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국민들이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">여기에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">저항해서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시위를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">펼치기도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">어려운 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">상황이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">될 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">다만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">다행인</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것은</span><span lang="en-us">(</span><span lang="ko">내 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">평생 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전시작전권</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">환수가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">되지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않은</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">다행으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">여기게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">될 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">날이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">올줄이야…</span><span lang="en-us">) </span><span lang="ko">남측의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선제</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">타격 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이 후 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">바로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전시가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">되므로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">작전권이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미국으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">바로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">넘어가게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">됨</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">이럴 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">경우 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미국이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">어떤</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">태도를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">취할</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것이냐 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">하는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">문제인데</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">미국은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나중은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">몰라도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">지금 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">현재 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">상황에서는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">한반도에서까지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일어나는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">원치 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">그</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이유는</span><span lang="en-us"></span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">1. </span><span lang="ko">우크라이나 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁까지는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미국이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">배후 에서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일으킨 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁이라는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">말이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나올 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정도로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">자기들 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">입장에서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나쁘지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁인데</span><span lang="en-us">,  </span><span lang="ko">이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">생각과 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">달리 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">너무 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">장기화</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">하고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있어 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">출구 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">없는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">되어 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">가고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있음</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">2. </span><span lang="ko">그런데</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">우리로서는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">다행스럽게도</span><span lang="en-us">(</span><span lang="ko">애초에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">의도치 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미치게</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">된 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">결과일 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">뿐이지만</span><span lang="en-us">, '</span><span lang="ko">우리로 서는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">다행</span><span lang="en-us">'</span><span lang="ko">이라고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">표현 할 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">수 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">밖에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">없어서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">팔레스타인</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">분들 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그리고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이스라엘</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">분들 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미안합니다</span><span lang="en-us">.)</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">전혀 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">예상 하지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않았던 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">팔레스타인</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발발했고</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">그게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">다른 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">중동 지역</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">확전하지는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않더라도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">최소한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">내년 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">상반기까지는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">안 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">끝날 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">가능성이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">큼</span><span lang="en-us">, </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-size:11pt;"><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us">3. </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">이런 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">상황에 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">내년 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">대통령 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">선거가 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">잡혀있는 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">미국</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">입장에서 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">명분도 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">약한데</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us">, </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">선제타격에 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">의한 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">한반도 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">전쟁을 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">일으켜서</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us">, </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">어떻게든 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">관계 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">개선을 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">해볼려고 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">노력 중이던 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">중국 까지와도 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">무력 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">충돌하게 되는 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">구도를 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">만들기는 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">어려움</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us">. (</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">국지전이 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">아니라 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">전면전이 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">한반도에서 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">일어날 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">경우 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">중국 입장 에서 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">그냥 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">그걸 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">가만히 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">지켜 보고 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">있기는 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">어려움</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us">. </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">그걸 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">지킬지 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">여부는 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">또 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">다른 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">문제지만</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us">, </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">북한과 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">중국이 </span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">맺은</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="en-us"> '</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">북</span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">·</span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">중 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">우호 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">협조 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">및 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">상호 원조에 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">관한</span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'Malgun Gothic';" lang="ko">조약</span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us">'</span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">에 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">따르면 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">한반도에서 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">전쟁 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">발발 시 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">중국은 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">자동 개입 하도록 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">되어 </span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us"></span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="ko">있음</span><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';" lang="en-us">)</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">그런 고로</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">남한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선제 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">타격으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">인한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발발 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">및 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄령 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">선포는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이루어 지더라도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전면전으로 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">확대 되는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미국이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전작권을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">행사해 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">막을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span lang="ko">다만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">계엄령은 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발발 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">후 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국면이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">어느 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정리될 때까지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">한 동안 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">안 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">풀릴 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">수 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있지만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">전쟁이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">확전되지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">계엄령이</span><span lang="en-us"> 3</span><span lang="ko">개월 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이어진다면 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그때 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">즈음엔 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">국민들도 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">더 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">이상 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">참지</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">들고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일어서게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">될 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">것임</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="en-us">3</span><span lang="ko">번 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">시나리오에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대해서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">너무 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">허무</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">맹랑 하다고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">생각하실지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">모르겠습니다만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">엊그제 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">북한이 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">한반도에서의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대해서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">언급 하고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나왔습니다</span><span lang="en-us">. </span><span style="font-size:11pt;">(</span><a target="_blank" href="https://imnews.imbc.com/replay/2023/nwdesk/article/6549537_36199.html" style="font-size:11pt;font-family:gulim, Dotum, Helvetica, AppleGothic, 'sans-serif';" target="_blank"><span style="font-family:'함초롬돋움';">https://imnews.imbc.com/replay/2023/nwdesk/article/6549537_36199.html</span></a><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:'함초롬돋움';">)</span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">북한 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">입장 에서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">우리를 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">먼저 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">공격하는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">짓을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">벌이지는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">않겠지만</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">윤정권 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">들어서고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">나서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">북한의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">미사일 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">발사 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">등 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">북한의 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">그간 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">행태에 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">대해</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">그것을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">명분 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">삼아 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전쟁을 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">일으킬</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">수 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">있다고 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">봅니다</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko"> </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"><span lang="ko">그러니</span><span lang="en-us">, </span><span lang="ko">향후 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">어떻게 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전개될지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">전혀 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">예상 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">못 하다가 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">당하지 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">말자는 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">의미에서 </span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">정리해</span><span lang="en-us"></span><span lang="ko">봤습니다</span><span lang="en-us">. </span></p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;" lang="ko"> </p> <p style="margin:0in;font-family:'Malgun Gothic';font-size:11pt;"> <span lang="en-us">많은 분들 보시게 추천 부탁드립니다. </span> </p>

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