<div><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; line-height: 1.5">저도 북극 해빙가 60%나 증가했다는 기사 봤는데요</span></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">그거에 반박하는 기사를 찾았어요</font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2"><span style="line-height: 19px">현제 여친이 없으므로 지금부터는 음슴체</span></font></div> <div><br /></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">1. <span style="line-height: 17.984375px">Surface temperatures haven’t increased as much as they did a decade or so ago, but we now understand that</span><a target="_blank" href="http://skepticalscience.com/watanabe-et-al-2013-another-piece-of-the-puzzle.html" target="_blank" style="color: #006699; text-decoration: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99; line-height: 17.984375px">the extra heat from global warming is getting stored in the oceans</a><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">. Surface temperatures are a piece of the puzzle, but like their name implies, </span><a target="_blank" href="http://www.skepticalscience.com/charles-krauthammer-flat-earther-global-warming-folly.html" target="_blank" style="color: #006699; text-decoration: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99; line-height: 17.984375px">they don’t probe the depths of the problem</a><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">. Remember too that </span><a target="_blank" href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/01/18/global_warming_nine_of_the_ten_hottest_years_since_1880_have_been_in_the.html" target="_blank" style="color: #006699; text-decoration: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99; line-height: 17.984375px">nine of the 10 hottest years since 1880 have been in the past decade</a><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">.</span></font></div> <div><span style="line-height: 17.984375px"><font face="Arial" size="2">지구 표면온도가 몇년전처럼 많이 올라가지 않았는데 그 이유는 바다가 열을 저장하고 있기 때문</font></span></div> <div><span style="line-height: 17.984375px"><font face="Arial" size="2">그리고 표면온도는 퍼즐의 한조각 이고 지구 온난화의 전체문제중 깊이 파고들지 않음</font></span></div> <div><span style="line-height: 17.984375px"><font face="Arial" size="2">1880년 부터 가장 뜨거웠던 해가 지난 10년동안 9번이나 있었음</font></span></div> <div><span style="line-height: 17.984375px"><font face="Arial" size="2"><br /></font></span></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2"><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">2. </span><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">The second claim that the Arctic sea ice is now 60 percent higher over August 2012 is technically true but extremely misleading. In the summer of 2012 </span><a target="_blank" href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2012/08/27/arctic_sea_ice_extent_now_at_record_low_levels.html" target="_blank" style="color: #006699; text-decoration: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99; line-height: 17.984375px">Arctic sea ice hit a record low</a><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">. Given just how extreme it was, it’s not too surprising that it would not be </span><em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 17.984375px; vertical-align: baseline">as</em><span style="line-height: 17.984375px"> extreme this year. As you can see by </span><a target="_blank" href="http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png" target="_blank" style="color: #006699; text-decoration: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99; line-height: 17.984375px">the graph here</a><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">, the sea ice extent (which essentially represents how much area is covered by ice) was incredibly low last year and is still lower than average this year. Rose makes this seem like the ice is on a huge rebound, but it’s more like getting a D- after getting an F on a test. Sure, it’s better, but it ain’t necessarily</span><em style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; line-height: 17.984375px; vertical-align: baseline">good</em><span style="line-height: 17.984375px">. </span></font><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">Also, note the headline of the article that says, “Record Return of Arctic Ice Cap as it Grows by 60% in a Year.” That is grossly misleading, making it seem as if the sea ice is coming back. It isn’t. The sea ice grows and recedes with the seasons every year and has been on the decline since spring … and the overall trend over time is</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em"> </span><em style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-variant: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; vertical-align: baseline">definitely</em><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em"> </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">downward.</span></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">가장 중요한 포인트!!!!</font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">2012년 보다 해빙 면적이 60%나 늘었다고 해드라인에 썼는데 그건 2012년에 엄청나게 낮았기 때문에 그런거임</font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">맨아래 첨부한 그래프 처럼 작년에 너무나 낮아서 올해 좋아보이는거임</font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">이걸 대학교 성적에 비교하면 <u><b>작년에 F 에서 올해 D 를 받았다고 좋아하는거</b></u>임. 당연히 D도 상당히 나쁜거고</font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">그리고 상당히 중요한 포인트는 비록 이번년 여름이 작년보단 좋았지만 현재 트렌드는 매년 감소추세</font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2"><span style="line-height: 19px">즉 내년에는 2012년보다 더 줄어들수 있음</span></font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2"><br /></font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">3. </font><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">Incidentally, sea ice extent is interesting, but it's not the best way to look at this. More important is the sea ice</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em"> </span><em style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-variant: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; vertical-align: baseline">volume</em><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">, which tells you the thickness. Ice can cover a lot of area, but if it’s thin, that’s not good; it melts more readily in the summer. Right now,</span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em"> </span><a target="_blank" href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/05/28/arctic_sea_ice_global_warming_is_melting_more_ice_every_year.html" target="_blank" style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em; color: #006699; text-decoration: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99">the trend for sea ice volume is down</a><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">. Way down.</span></div> <div><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">그리고 마지막으로 기사에는 </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em"><font size="5"><b><u>해빙면적</u></b></font></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">이 늘었다고 했죠</span></div> <div><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">하지만 빙하면적보다 더 중요한거 </span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em"><font size="5"><b><u>해빙부피</u></b></font></span><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">란거죠</span></div> <div><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">면적이 늘었다고 부피가 느는건 아니죠. 왜냐하면 면적은 넓은데 두께가 엄청 얇아서 총 부피는 훨씬 적으니까요</span></div> <div><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: small; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: 1.5em">그리고 두께가 얇으면 여름에 더 잘 녹는다는 사실</span></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2"><span style="line-height: 19.5px">현제 문제는 해빙 면적이 늘었다고 하지만 빙하부피는 계속 감소 추세라는점</span></font></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2" style="color: #006699; outline: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99; line-height: 17.984375px; text-align: center"><a target="_blank" href="http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png" target="_blank" style="color: #006699; outline: none; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: #ffff99; line-height: 17.984375px; text-align: center"><img title="arcticseaice_aug2013" height="459" alt="sea ice extent graph" width="568" class="cq-dd-image sl-img-no-new-tab sl-art-illo" src="http://www.slate.com/content/dam/slate/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/09/09/arcticseaice_aug2013.jpg.CROP.original-original.jpg" style="margin: 0px 0px 5px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; cursor: pointer" /></a></font></div> <div><br /></div> <div>그러니까 지구는 추워지는게 아니고 매년 더워지는데 올해만 해빙면적만 급 넓어지고 부피는 감소추세라는거죠</div> <div><br /></div> <div><font face="Arial" size="2">출저: <a target="_blank" href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy.html" target="_blank">http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy.html</a></font></div> <div><br /></div> <div>참고로 <span style="font-size: 9pt; line-height: 1.5">북극은 얼음이 바다위에 떠 있기 때문에 빙하가 아니라 해빙이죠</span></div> <div>메르넬님 감사합니다. </div>